2009 Week fifteen

Predictions and Scores for 2009, Week 15

Game: Colts (14-0) @ Jaguars (7-7)
Predicted score: Colts 21, Jaguars 17
Predicted winner: Colts by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Colts by 3
Bet recommendation: Colts
Bet confidence: 49.5%
Actual score: Colts 35, Jaguars 31
Actual winner: Colts by 4
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Well, this one turned out well.

Game: Cowboys (8-5) @ Saints (13-0)
Predicted score: Cowboys 17, Saints 24
Predicted winner: Saints by 7
Confidence of victory: 71.0%
Favorite: Saints by 7.5
Bet recommendation: Cowboys
Bet confidence: 54.5%

Wow, a real close prediction here against the spread.

Game: Bears (5-8) @ Ravens (7-6)
Predicted score: Bears 16, Ravens 23
Predicted winner: Ravens by 7
Confidence of victory: 71.0%
Favorite: Ravens by 11
Bet recommendation: Bears
Bet confidence: 61.0%

I have to really hope for a Bears upset here. The Steelers need every bit of help they can get.

Game: Patriots (8-5) @ Bills (5-8)
Predicted score: Patriots 20, Bills 17
Predicted winner: Patriots by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.2%
Favorite: Patriots by 7
Bet recommendation: Bills
Bet confidence: 59.1%

I won't be surprised to see the Patriots cover easily here.

Game: Cardinals (8-5) @ Lions (2-11)
Predicted score: Cardinals 23, Lions 20
Predicted winner: Cardinals by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.2%
Favorite: Cardinals by 12.5
Bet recommendation: Lions
Bet confidence: 73.7%

I think this is going to be a good game for Warner as they solidify their position.

Game: Browns (2-11) @ Chiefs (3-10)
Predicted score: Browns 17, Chiefs 21
Predicted winner: Chiefs by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Chiefs by 2
Bet recommendation: Chiefs
Bet confidence: 57.3%

Wake me when it's over.

Game: Falcons (6-7) @ Jets (7-6)
Predicted score: Falcons 16, Jets 20
Predicted winner: Jets by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Jets by 4.5
Bet recommendation: Falcons
Bet confidence: 53.4%

Another one where the prediction is very close to the spread. If I was a betting man, I'd avoid ones this close.

Game: 49ers (6-7) @ Eagles (9-4)
Predicted score: 49ers 17, Eagles 21
Predicted winner: Eagles by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Eagles by 7.5
Bet recommendation: 49ers
Bet confidence: 62.8%

It's probably too late for the Niners, and the Eagles might have a shot at catching up to the Vikings for a bye.

Game: Packers (9-4) @ Steelers (6-7)
Predicted score: Packers 20, Steelers 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Steelers by 2
Bet recommendation: Packers
Bet confidence: 52.6%

Like last week, the Packers are not predicted to win against a team with 3+ more losses than they have. Strange.

Game: Texans (6-7) @ Rams (1-12)
Predicted score: Texans 21, Rams 17
Predicted winner: Texans by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Texans by 13.5
Bet recommendation: Rams
Bet confidence: 75.2%

Time for the Rams to have a late season win streak to mess up their draft position?

Game: Dolphins (7-6) @ Titans (6-7)
Predicted score: Dolphins 20, Titans 23
Predicted winner: Titans by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.2%
Favorite: Titans by 3.5
Bet recommendation: Dolphins
Bet confidence: 51.5%

Third game this week where the Predictabot predicted score and the favorite are within half a point.

Game: Raiders (4-9) @ Broncos (8-5)
Predicted score: Raiders 13, Broncos 21
Predicted winner: Broncos by 8
Confidence of victory: 73.5%
Favorite: Broncos by 14
Bet recommendation: Raiders
Bet confidence: 65.8%

It probably doesn't matter, but since the Broncos are a likely wild card team I need to root for them to lose to help the Steelers.

Game: Bengals (9-4) @ Chargers (10-3)
Predicted score: Bengals 17, Chargers 21
Predicted winner: Chargers by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.5%
Favorite: Chargers by 7
Bet recommendation: Bengals
Bet confidence: 58.1%

This could be an interesting matchup that we could easily see in the divisional round of the playoffs. We'll see how the Bengals respond to the loss of Henry.

Game: Buccaneers (1-12) @ Seahawks (5-8)
Predicted score: Buccaneers 17, Seahawks 23
Predicted winner: Seahawks by 6
Confidence of victory: 69.7%
Favorite: Seahawks by 6.5
Bet recommendation: Buccaneers
Bet confidence: 51.3%

And with the first pick in the 2010 NFL draft, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers select...

Game: Vikings (11-2) @ Panthers (5-8)
Predicted score: Vikings 20, Panthers 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Vikings by 9
Bet recommendation: Panthers
Bet confidence: 74.9%

A strangely conservative call here. Predictabot doesn't seem to like the Vikings or Packers.

Game: Giants (7-6) @ Redskins (4-9)
Predicted score: Giants 20, Redskins 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Giants by 3
Bet recommendation: Redskins
Bet confidence: 54.6%

The Giants are fighting for a playoff spot now, but they need help to get there.

Correct winning predictions: 1-0
Correct bet predictions: 1-0