2009 Week fifteen prediction results

Predictions and Scores for 2009, Week 15:

Game: Colts (14-0) @ Jaguars (7-7)
Predicted score: Colts 21, Jaguars 17
Predicted winner: Colts by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Colts by 3
Bet recommendation: Colts
Bet confidence: 49.5%
Actual score: Colts 35, Jaguars 31
Actual winner: Colts by 4
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Off by 14, but the predicted margin was right.

Game: Cowboys (9-5) @ Saints (13-1)
Predicted score: Cowboys 17, Saints 24
Predicted winner: Saints by 7
Confidence of victory: 70.8%
Favorite: Saints by 7.5
Bet recommendation: Cowboys
Bet confidence: 54.5%
Actual score: Cowboys 24, Saints 17
Actual winner: Cowboys by 7
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

Well, you had to figure the Saints would lose sometimes. Let's see how they respond now that the pressure is off a little.

Game: Bears (5-9) @ Ravens (8-6)
Predicted score: Bears 16, Ravens 23
Predicted winner: Ravens by 7
Confidence of victory: 70.8%
Favorite: Ravens by 11
Bet recommendation: Bears
Bet confidence: 61.0%
Actual score: Bears 7, Ravens 31
Actual winner: Ravens by 24
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

Wow, the Ravens went crazy on the Bears. Goddamn Ravens.

Game: Patriots (9-5) @ Bills (5-9)
Predicted score: Patriots 20, Bills 17
Predicted winner: Patriots by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.3%
Favorite: Patriots by 7
Bet recommendation: Bills
Bet confidence: 59.2%
Actual score: Patriots 17, Bills 10
Actual winner: Patriots by 7
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Just squeaked in under the wire here, but a pair of good predictions.

Game: Cardinals (9-5) @ Lions (2-12)
Predicted score: Cardinals 23, Lions 20
Predicted winner: Cardinals by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.3%
Favorite: Cardinals by 12.5
Bet recommendation: Lions
Bet confidence: 73.8%
Actual score: Cardinals 31, Lions 24
Actual winner: Cardinals by 7
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Game: Browns (3-11) @ Chiefs (3-11)
Predicted score: Browns 17, Chiefs 21
Predicted winner: Chiefs by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Chiefs by 2
Bet recommendation: Chiefs
Bet confidence: 57.4%
Actual score: Browns 41, Chiefs 34
Actual winner: Browns by 7
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Wrong

What a terrible, terrible game.

Game: Falcons (7-7) @ Jets (7-7)
Predicted score: Falcons 16, Jets 20
Predicted winner: Jets by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Jets by 4.5
Bet recommendation: Falcons
Bet confidence: 53.4%
Actual score: Falcons 10, Jets 7
Actual winner: Falcons by 3
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

Another game that was predicted very close to the spread, and ended up on the right side.

Game: 49ers (6-8) @ Eagles (10-4)
Predicted score: 49ers 17, Eagles 21
Predicted winner: Eagles by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Eagles by 7.5
Bet recommendation: 49ers
Bet confidence: 62.9%
Actual score: 49ers 13, Eagles 27
Actual winner: Eagles by 14
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

Way off here. The Eagles are angry birds.

Game: Packers (9-5) @ Steelers (7-7)
Predicted score: Packers 20, Steelers 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Steelers by 2
Bet recommendation: Packers
Bet confidence: 52.6%
Actual score: Packers 36, Steelers 37
Actual winner: Steelers by 1
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Right

Well, it's hard to argue that this game couldn't have gone either way.

Game: Texans (7-7) @ Rams (1-13)
Predicted score: Texans 21, Rams 17
Predicted winner: Texans by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Texans by 13.5
Bet recommendation: Rams
Bet confidence: 75.3%
Actual score: Texans 16, Rams 13
Actual winner: Texans by 3
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Game: Dolphins (7-7) @ Titans (7-7)
Predicted score: Dolphins 20, Titans 23
Predicted winner: Titans by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.3%
Favorite: Titans by 3.5
Bet recommendation: Dolphins
Bet confidence: 51.5%
Actual score: Dolphins 24, Titans 27
Actual winner: Titans by 3
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Nice close prediction, just sneaking in that thin margin.

Game: Raiders (5-9) @ Broncos (8-6)
Predicted score: Raiders 13, Broncos 21
Predicted winner: Broncos by 8
Confidence of victory: 73.3%
Favorite: Broncos by 14
Bet recommendation: Raiders
Bet confidence: 65.7%
Actual score: Raiders 20, Broncos 19
Actual winner: Raiders by 1
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

Another one this week where the predicted loser is expected to at least be close enough, and it's been adding up.

Game: Bengals (9-5) @ Chargers (11-3)
Predicted score: Bengals 17, Chargers 21
Predicted winner: Chargers by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Chargers by 7
Bet recommendation: Bengals
Bet confidence: 58.2%
Actual score: Bengals 24, Chargers 27
Actual winner: Chargers by 3
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

I'll take it.

Game: Buccaneers (2-12) @ Seahawks (5-9)
Predicted score: Buccaneers 17, Seahawks 23
Predicted winner: Seahawks by 6
Confidence of victory: 69.6%
Favorite: Seahawks by 6.5
Bet recommendation: Buccaneers
Bet confidence: 51.3%
Actual score: Buccaneers 24, Seahawks 7
Actual winner: Buccaneers by 17
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

The Bucs took everyone by surprise, but the Seahawks sure are bad.

Game: Vikings (11-3) @ Panthers (6-8)
Predicted score: Vikings 20, Panthers 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Vikings by 9
Bet recommendation: Panthers
Bet confidence: 74.9%
Actual score: Vikings 7, Panthers 26
Actual winner: Panthers by 19
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Right

Speaking of surprises, here are your 6-8 Carolina Panthers. If Jake Delhomme is the QB next year, get used to it.

Game: Giants (8-6) @ Redskins (4-10)
Predicted score: Giants 20, Redskins 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Giants by 3
Bet recommendation: Redskins
Bet confidence: 54.6%
Actual score: Giants 45, Redskins 12
Actual winner: Giants by 33
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Wrong

I'm not really sure why this was predicted as a tie, but the Giants are waking up after a mid-season snooze.

Correct winning predictions: 8-5
Correct bet predictions: 12-4

A pretty good week, although a rare case of the spread predictions being well ahead of the winning predictions,