Thursday, October 8, 2009

2009 Week four prediction results

Predicted scores for 2009 week 4:

DET 16
CHI 27 (-10)

The final was Chicago 48, Detroit 24, so right on picking both the winner and against the spread.

CIN 23 (-5.5)
CLE 13

Well, I said I thought the Bengals should've been picked to score more than this, but the final was just 23-20 Bengals, so as a result the prediction against the spread is wrong

OAK 13
HOU 30 (-9.5)

My personal prediction was 20-6 Texans, I think, but it ended up 29-6. No big surprises, and two correct predictions.

SEA 14
IND 26 (-9)

Another pretty good prediction, as the final was 24-17 in favor of the Colts.

TEN 21 (-3)
JAC 14

Bad news for the Titans, as they dropped to the Jaguars 37-17. Two wrong predictions here, and the end of the line for the Titans playoff hopes.

NYG 30 (-8.5)
KAN 13

The final here was 27-16 Giants, so another solid prediction.

BAL 23
NWE 17 (-2)

My gut was that the Ravens would win this one, but the Patriots managed to put them down, 27-21. Wrong predictions by Predictabot on all counts.

TAM 19
WAS 14 (-7)

I figured that Washington would win this one but not beat the spread, which was just what happened. The Redskins won 16-13. Predictabot was wrong about the winner, but right about how to bet the points.

BUF 19 (-2)
MIA 19

My personal choice was Buffalo, and it was totally wrong. The Dolphins spanked the Bills 38-10, which means the prediction to go with Miami against the spread was the right call.

NYJ 10
NOR 38 (-7)

The Jets did a good job with the Saints offense, but the Saints defense finally made itself more visible. The final was 24-10 Saints, which does mean a pair of good predictions.

DAL 27 (-3)
DEN 19

I went against Predictabot here again and thought Denver would somehow pull it out, which they did, winning 17-10, and both predictions were wrong.

STL 7
SFO 34 (-9.5)

The actual score was 35-0 Niners, which is just sad for the Rams, who are by far the worst team in the league. Two good predictions.

SDG 24
PIT 17 (-6.5)

Well, sometimes I love having Predictabot be wrong. Steelers win 38-28, and both predictions are incorrect.

GNB 21
MIN 21 (-3.5)

I went with the Packers myself, and that shows you what I know. (I have a bias toward the Packers this year even though they aren't performing as well as I expected). The Vikings won 30-23, and that means that the prediction to go with the Packers considering the spread was wrong.

Before this week it was 32-14 (70%) picking winners, and 27-21 (56%) against the spread for the year, and these results bring it to 39-19 (67%) picking winners and 35-27 (56%) against the spread all year. Still holding fairly consistent, although the winning predictions are a little down this week.

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