Tuesday, October 13, 2009

2009 Week five prediction results

Predicted scores for 2009 week 5:

CIN 24
BAL 31 (-8.5)

I said that I thought Baltimore would cover the spread. Since the Bengals managed to win 17-14. An incorrect winning prediction, but a correct bet against the spread.

CLE 24
BUF 30 (-6)

Hah, well, I only had each team's scored multiplied by 5. The final was 6-3 Cleveland, so an incorrect winning prediction, and a "push" on the spread would have meant a non-bet.

WAS 13
CAR 10 (-3.5)

The final was 20-17 Carolina, so another incorrect win prediction, but a good call on the spread.

PIT 30 (-10.5)
DET 24

This is the closest prediction so far. Pittsburgh won 28-20, so finally we get a pair of correct predictions.

DAL 30 (-8)
KAN 23

This one ended up with Dallas winning by 6, 26-20, for another close prediction, and both of Predictabot's calls were correct.

OAK 10
NYG 31 (-15)

Final was 44-7 Giants. Enough said.

TAM 16
PHI 38 (-15)

Final was 33-14 Eagles. Enough said again.

MIN 34 (-10)
STL 10

Final was 38-10 Vikings. Are we done with the blowouts yet? It's funny. I had said that I expected one of these to be a massive upset. When writing last week's predictions, I nearly included the next game in the set of massive favorites...

ATL 9
SFO 30 (-2.5)

"I think the Niners deserve a much higher spread, and if there was a game this week I felt like putting real money on, I'd go with the Niners here." That's what I said. All week people said I was nuts for being so high on the Niners. The system's numbers backed it up, but when it came to the game, it was a blowout, but the Niners were on the receiving end, 45-10. Ouch.

HOU 23
ARI 30 (-5.5)

This ended up 28-21 Cardinals, so a pair of good predictions. I saw this game on in the final seconds and couldn't be bothered to see how it ended.

NWE 10 (-3)
DEN 16

Well, Predictabot went with what I thought was a bold choice, but it ended up 20-17 Denver. A pair of good predictions, and a nice upset.

JAC 23
SEA 24 (PICK)

This ended up a 41-0 hammering by the Seahawks, who I guess are glad to have a QB back, and whether a win by 1 or 41, the predictions were both right.

IND 34 (-3.5)
TEN 17

The actual final here was 31-9 Colts, which is on par with how both teams have been playing.

NYJ 16 (-1.5)
MIA 7

And we end the weak with a bad prediction, as the Jets lost to the Dolphins 31-27.

Still, a very strong weak, once you get past the first three games. The calls against the spread were a remarkable 11-2, but only 9-5 picking winners.

Before this week it was 39-19 (67%) picking winners, and 35-27 (56%) against the spread for the year, and these results bring it to 48-24 (67%) picking winners and 46-29 (61%) against the spread all year. This week gave a real boost for the picks against the spread, and with these week's results I'd actually be ahead if I had bet on all 75 of the games so far this year that Predictabot recommended.

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