2009 Week sixteen prediction results

Predictions and Scores for 2009, Week 16:

Game: Chargers (12-3) @ Titans (7-8)
Predicted score: Chargers 21, Titans 21
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Titans by 3
Bet recommendation: Chargers
Bet confidence: 54.6%
Actual score: Chargers 42, Titans 17
Actual winner: Chargers by 25
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Right

I don't understand why the Titans were favored here at all.

Game: Bills (5-10) @ Falcons (8-7)
Predicted score: Bills 16, Falcons 21
Predicted winner: Falcons by 5
Confidence of victory: 66.1%
Favorite: Falcons by 9
Bet recommendation: Bills
Bet confidence: 61.2%
Actual score: Bills 3, Falcons 31
Actual winner: Falcons by 28
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

I think the Falcons covered.

Game: Chiefs (3-12) @ Bengals (10-5)
Predicted score: Chiefs 16, Bengals 24
Predicted winner: Bengals by 8
Confidence of victory: 73.5%
Favorite: Bengals by 13.5
Bet recommendation: Chiefs
Bet confidence: 65.7%
Actual score: Chiefs 10, Bengals 17
Actual winner: Bengals by 7
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Closer than it should have been, but at least the Bengals managed to beat the Chiefs to begin with.

Game: Raiders (5-10) @ Browns (4-11)
Predicted score: Raiders 17, Browns 20
Predicted winner: Browns by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.2%
Favorite: Browns by 3
Bet recommendation: Raiders
Bet confidence: 43.7%
Actual score: Raiders 9, Browns 23
Actual winner: Browns by 14
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

The Browns waking up now that they have two offensive weapons.

Game: Seahawks (5-10) @ Packers (10-5)
Predicted score: Seahawks 17, Packers 24
Predicted winner: Packers by 7
Confidence of victory: 70.9%
Favorite: Packers by 14
Bet recommendation: Seahawks
Bet confidence: 67.7%
Actual score: Seahawks 10, Packers 48
Actual winner: Packers by 38
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

Ouch, a much worse beating that I expected here.

Game: Texans (8-7) @ Dolphins (7-8)
Predicted score: Texans 20, Dolphins 23
Predicted winner: Dolphins by 3
Confidence of victory: 60.2%
Favorite: Dolphins by 1.5
Bet recommendation: Dolphins
Bet confidence: 58.0%
Actual score: Texans 27, Dolphins 20
Actual winner: Texans by 7
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Wrong

This one stings...the Texans losing a game has been critical for helping the Steelers get in, and the Texans keep holding on. It's going to be up the Patriots to stop them tomorrow.

Game: Panthers (7-8) @ Giants (8-7)
Predicted score: Panthers 17, Giants 23
Predicted winner: Giants by 6
Confidence of victory: 69.7%
Favorite: Giants by 8
Bet recommendation: Panthers
Bet confidence: 56.1%
Actual score: Panthers 41, Giants 9
Actual winner: Panthers by 32
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

I just don't know what is going on with the Giants. Wildly varying their level of play. Dominating one week and being abused the next. It's very strange.

Game: Jaguars (7-8) @ Patriots (10-5)
Predicted score: Jaguars 16, Patriots 23
Predicted winner: Patriots by 7
Confidence of victory: 70.9%
Favorite: Patriots by 9.5
Bet recommendation: Jaguars
Bet confidence: 57.4%
Actual score: Jaguars 7, Patriots 35
Actual winner: Patriots by 28
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

I hate rooting for the Patriots, but it's helping.

Game: Buccaneers (3-12) @ Saints (13-2)
Predicted score: Buccaneers 16, Saints 27
Predicted winner: Saints by 11
Confidence of victory: 79.1%
Favorite: Saints by 14
Bet recommendation: Buccaneers
Bet confidence: 55.8%
Actual score: Buccaneers 20, Saints 17
Actual winner: Buccaneers by 3
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

Haha, well I doubt anyone saw this coming.

Game: Broncos (8-7) @ Eagles (11-4)
Predicted score: Broncos 17, Eagles 21
Predicted winner: Eagles by 4
Confidence of victory: 61.6%
Favorite: Eagles by 7
Bet recommendation: Broncos
Bet confidence: 58.2%
Actual score: Broncos 27, Eagles 30
Actual winner: Eagles by 3
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

A pretty pleasing prediction here, and a little help from the Eagles to bring the Broncos to the level where the Steelers can beat them in a tiebreaker (in some situations).

Game: Ravens (8-7) @ Steelers (8-7)
Predicted score: Ravens 20, Steelers 20
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Steelers by 3
Bet recommendation: Ravens
Bet confidence: 54.6%
Actual score: Ravens 20, Steelers 23
Actual winner: Steelers by 3
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Right

Stayin' alive...

Game: Rams (1-14) @ Cardinals (10-5)
Predicted score: Rams 14, Cardinals 24
Predicted winner: Cardinals by 10
Confidence of victory: 78.1%
Favorite: Cardinals by 15
Bet recommendation: Rams
Bet confidence: 61.5%
Actual score: Rams 10, Cardinals 31
Actual winner: Cardinals by 21
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Wrong

This is about what you'd expect.

Game: Lions (2-13) @ 49ers (7-8)
Predicted score: Lions 16, 49ers 24
Predicted winner: 49ers by 8
Confidence of victory: 73.5%
Favorite: 49ers by 14
Bet recommendation: Lions
Bet confidence: 65.7%
Actual score: Lions 6, 49ers 20
Actual winner: 49ers by 14
Win prediction result: Right
Bet prediction result: Right

Lions still hoping the Rams might win a game and lose out on the #1 draft spot I guess!

Game: Jets (8-7) @ Colts (14-1)
Predicted score: Jets 14, Colts 21
Predicted winner: Colts by 7
Confidence of victory: 70.9%
Favorite: Colts by 4
Bet recommendation: Colts
Bet confidence: 56.6%
Actual score: Jets 29, Colts 15
Actual winner: Jets by 14
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Wrong

Ouch. This one hurt the Steelers badly. The Jets now need to lose to another team playing for nothing.

Game: Cowboys (10-5) @ Redskins (4-11)
Predicted score: Cowboys 17, Redskins 17
Predicted winner: TIE
Favorite: Cowboys by 7
Bet recommendation: Redskins
Bet confidence: 69.6%
Actual score: Cowboys 17, Redskins 0
Actual winner: Cowboys by 17
Win prediction result: N/A
Bet prediction result: Wrong

I was surprised by the tie prediction here, and rightfully so, I guess.

Game: Vikings (11-4) @ Bears (6-9)
Predicted score: Vikings 21, Bears 20
Predicted winner: Vikings by 1
Confidence of victory: 51.6%
Favorite: Vikings by 7
Bet recommendation: Bears
Bet confidence: 67.5%
Actual score: Vikings 30, Bears 36
Actual winner: Bears by 6
Win prediction result: Wrong
Bet prediction result: Right

Definitely an upset, but not the craziest thing. The Vikings might be coming off the rails.

Correct winning predictions: 8-5
Correct bet predictions: 8-8

Not a terribly good week, but at least it wasn't below .500.