2009 Week eleven

Predicted scores for 2009 week 11:

MIA 23
CAR 21 (-3.5)

The game is already done, and we started off with a pair of good predictions, as Miami did come up with upset.

IND 17 (-1)
BAL 14

I'm surprised this is only by 3. I would have thought Predictabot would have favored the Colts by more. Still, they are coming to Baltimore, and there's history here. For some reason I have a feeling Baltimore is going to upset.

WAS 7
DAL 23 (-11)

The Redskins don't have the worst offense in the league any more (Thanks, Raiders), but they're still the Redskins. We'll see if this rumor that the Redskins offense has been too focused on Portis might mean that the offense will pick up without him.

CLE 20
DET 21 (-3.5)

Both teams are so bad, it's too close to call.

SFO 17
GNB 19 (-6.5)

Both of these teams have been pretty inconsistent lately, and if the Niners don't win, they'll be down to 4-6 and likely miss the playoffs. Predictabot is giving the win to the Packers but not enough to cover.

BUF 19
JAC 21 (-9)

Another hard-to-predict game, in my opinion. The "new coach" factor can always throw a wrench into the plans. I'm going to say that growing pains prevent the win for the Bills, but I could see them at least keeping it within the point spread.

PIT 26 (-10)
KAN 10

This seems like a reasonable outcome. I hope.

SEA 20
MIN 30 (-11)

Hmm, the Vikings aren't picked to beat the spread, even though it's close. I've been saying for a few weeks that the Vikings aren't as good as their record indicates. In Predictabot's ranking there are 7 teams with more losses (included a 5-4 team!) ranked higher than the Vikings. Still, it's the Seahawks, who are just averagely mediocre.

ATL 23
NYG 20 (-6.5)

This is a big NFC battle, as the loser is going to be at .500 with just six games left.

NOR 38 (-11.5)
TAM 20

I'm quite surprised to see this prediction, but I see that in recent weeks the Saints defense has been looking more and more mortal, even dipping below league average this week. If the Saints keep doing what they've been doing, they might just lose this one.

ARI 28 (-9)
STL 9

Seems pretty clear to me...the Cardinals are a top-ten team and the Rams are the worst team in the NFL.

SDG 17 (-3)
DEN 26

After the last four weeks, I have to completely disagree. The Chargers are going to murder the Broncos.

NYJ 9
NWE 19 (-10.5)

I don't think the rookie is going to get the win, but maybe just enough to keep the Patriots from covering. Personally I think the Pats will cover with ease.

CIN 23 (-9.5)
OAK 3

I can hope for an upset, but Oakland is really bad, and the Bengals probably aren't going to self-destruct until the playoffs.

PHI 24 (-3)
CHI 19

Two teams that I thought had a good shot at going somewhere, lingering around .500 and with no real identity. Predictabot has the Eagles ahead enough to win and cover, but they seem to screw that up plenty.

TEN 21
HOU 34 (-4.5)

Wow. After the Baltimore/Cleveland game, we get this beauty for Monday night? I could see it go either way, but I suspect this week, Vince Young's luck will run out.